Why the Chiefs, Despite Their Best Record, Are Considered a Long Shot to Win the Super Bowl
Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs, despite having the NFL's best record, are considered a long shot to win the Super Bowl in 2024 for several reasons:
Close Game Performance: The Chiefs have secured 12 wins this season, but a significant number of these victories have been by narrow margins. Of their 12 wins, only two have been by more than one score. This suggests that while they can secure wins, they often do so in tight contests, which might not bode well for the playoffs where every game is crucial.
Spread Covering Issues: In their last seven games, the Chiefs have failed to cover the spread, indicating that they have not performed as strongly against the expectations set by oddsmakers. This trend can be a red flag regarding their ability to handle the increased pressure and competition in the playoffs.
Defensive Concerns: The Chiefs' defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their inability to secure comfortable victories. This could be a concern in the postseason where defensive performance is often a key factor in winning championships.
Competitive Landscape: The NFL is highly competitive, and even with the best record, the Chiefs face stiff competition from other strong teams. The Buffalo Bills, who are also among the top contenders, have a slightly better defensive record and have shown more consistency in recent games.
Historical Context: Historically, teams that win by narrow margins in the regular season often struggle in the playoffs. The Chiefs' trend of close games might indicate potential vulnerabilities that could be exploited by stronger playoff opponents.
In summary, while the Kansas City Chiefs have the best record in the NFL, their narrow margins of victory, defensive inconsistencies, and the highly competitive nature of the playoffs contribute to the perception that they are a long shot to win the Super Bowl.